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柬埔寨一句狠话化解边境危机：中国可否借鉴？

2017-08-14 17:05:59

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wiwalker[S] 2分 11天前

o I understand it tactically now， but strategically， its mainly to cut off India from its eastern provinces？ That seems very ambitious but I wouldn't put it past China.

所以现在我在战术上明白了，但战略上呢，主要是把印度东北部分离出去吗？这似乎非常有抱负，但我不相信中国会这么做。

parky_sparky_boom 21分 11天前

If you don't buy the whole "claim Arunachal Pradesh because it was always part of China" the best explanation is that China wants the Buddhist Monastery in Tawang to eliminate something that could be considered a capital for an alternative government of Tibet. However， India isn't willing to hand over Tawang on a plate， and China can't annex Tawang and hold it against Indian forces as long as they can roll tanks into the Northeast. Cutting the Northeast off from India would be the only way China can gain long-term control of Tawang and put Tibetan independence in the ground for good. The rest of Arunachal Pradesh and the Northeast isn't nearly as valuable， being on the other side of the Himalayas and hard to connect to. China would probably support a separatist movement or let Myanmar annex it or something.

如果你不买“阿鲁纳恰尔邦自古就是中国的一部分”的帐，最好的解释就是中国希望得到在塔旺的佛教寺院以消除可以被认为是西藏替代政府的首都。不过，印度不愿意交出塔旺，只要印度能把坦克运到东北部，中国就不能吞并塔旺。分离印度东北部将是中国可以长期控制塔旺，把西藏独立置于死地的唯一途径。阿鲁纳恰尔邦和东北部的其他地区并不是那么有价值，因为在喜马拉雅山的另一边，所以很难连接。中国可能会支持分裂主义运动，也可能支持缅甸将其吞并。