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柬埔寨一句狠话化解边境危机：中国可否借鉴？

2017-08-14 17:05:59

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由于谈判拖延多年，高原道路建设给不丹政府带来了很大压力，所以他们想要更快地解决这个问题，以免中国在不丧失另外两块领土的情况下，对该地区进行实质控制。不过，由于印度对不丹的宗主地位，其因为自身战略因素对此进行干预。

至于时机，一带一路正在展开，十九届全国人大是今年九月。中国过去以来一直在寻求与邻国（尼泊尔，菲律宾，缅甸等）和平共处，不丹也许只是这个计划的一个部分。不丹选举在明年也将上演，但是到目前为止还有待观察。

parky_sparky_boom 12分 11天前

Bhutan is on the Indian side if the Himalayas， so India can easily punish Bhutan by blockading the country or just straight up annexing it. If China wanted to turn Bhutan to their side， they could have given Bhutan a backup plan in case of Indian pressure. Maybe building a rail line up to the border and offering to resupply or defend Bhutan in return for diplomatic relations. Doesn't seem like China actually wants relations with Bhutan that badly if they're willing to let Bhutan shoulder all the potential fallout.

不丹在喜马拉雅的印度一方，所以印度可以通过封锁国家或直接吞并它来轻易地惩罚不丹。如果中国想把不丹争取到他们一边的话，那就给不丹一个备份计划以防止印度的压力。也许建立一条铁路线到边界，并提供补给或扞卫不丹以换取外交关系。似乎中国实际上不想与不丹建立联系，如果他们想让不丹承受所有潜在的后果的话。

insipid-fauna 20分 11天前

China's already begun to build a rail link from Lanzhou to link up with Kathmandu， extending the railway which runs from Lanzhou to Xigaze. They could easily do the same and extend the railway to Bhutan whose border is just over 100 km away from Xigaze， so the infrastructure is in place for an extension. Given China's rather shrewd "carrot-and-stick" approach with other countries， I would guess that China has already offered a rail link to Bhutan along with settling the boundary dispute and establishing official political relations.