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柬埔寨一句狠话化解边境危机：中国可否借鉴？

2017-08-14 17:05:59

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在战略上，我觉得这对他们在印度洋的地位很有好处，他们与非洲的交易通过此处。

他们也坚决要求处理与不丹的单边问题，挑战印度与不丹之间的附庸国家关系。

parky_sparky_boom 8分 10天前

There's also another scenario where a Chinese attack through the Chumbi valley is useless for cutting off the Indian northeast. If India can secure transit through Bangladesh， through treaty or force， then Chinese forces would have to cut off a much wider strip across Bangladesh， impossible with only Chinese infantry facing Indian tanks on flat ground.

Considering Bangladesh is smaller and weaker than India， they probably could force passage if necessary. I'm of the opinion that cutting off and holding the Northeast is more likely than not to fail. The recent dispute over Doklam probably isn't part of some larger plan. More likely some poor Chinese schmucks got sent up to pave a road they completely thought was in their country and accidentally sparked a standoff.

另外还有一种情况是中国人通过春丕河谷的袭击对于切断印度东北地区是无用的。如果印度可以通过条约或武力保证运输可以通过孟加拉国，那么中国军队就不得不切断孟加拉国更广阔的地带，这对中国步兵来说是不可能的，考虑到到平原面对印度装甲部队。

考虑到孟加拉国比印度更小，更弱，如果有必要，他们可能会强行通过。我认为切断和掌握东北方的可能性并不大。最近对洞朗的争议可能不是一些更大的计划的一部分。更可能的情况是，一些可怜的中国笨蛋被送上去铺路，完全认为这是在他们的国家，结果不小心引发了对峙。